Rider Type · Data-Derived
All-Rounder
No obvious weakness. Adapts to gradient and distance without big performance swings.
Over 13 rides and 72 segment results in 2025, Ella Say averaged in the top 9% of the field, with a +0 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 13 rides and 72 segment results in 2025, Ella Say averaged in the top 9% of the field, with a +0 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 9% avg →
Late (S07+): top 9% avg ·
Swing: +0 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=38)
Top 9%
0.4–0.8km (n=19)
Top 8%
>0.8km (n=15)
Top 9%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=5)
Top 8%
6–10% mod (n=29)
Top 9%
10–13% steep (n=32)
Top 8%
>13% wall (n=5)
Top 9%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=27)
Top 9%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=15)
Top 9%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/76 | Madonna Way | 0.34 km | 10.1% |
| 4/69 | Mora: Trail of Tribulation | 0.69 km | 10.4% |
| 4/66 | Quinhill from University (Egan Official) | 0.31 km | 12.0% |
| 4/66 | Old Snakey Rd - Off Moody Rd | 0.23 km | 11.3% |
| 4/66 | Valley View from Border | 0.31 km | 8.1% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/47 | Matadero Creek Ln - off Pagemill Rd | 0.23 km | 12.3% |
| 9/53 | Valley View from Border | 0.31 km | 8.1% |
| 7/58 | Horseshoe Ct | 0.23 km | 15.1% |
| 8/69 | Quinhill from University (Egan Official) | 0.31 km | 12.0% |
| 8/73 | Alpine hill repeats | 0.37 km | 8.5% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Remarkable consistency — no single segment type is a weakness. Top 9% late in rides vs top 9% early — you warm into efforts rather than fade. That adaptability is rare: most riders have a clear Achilles heel that good routes can exploit. Best gradient: flat/rolling (<6%) at top 8%.
🎯
Development Area
Sharpening the best segments into consistent top-10 finishes. Currently 100% top-10 rate — the consistency is there, the peak isn't yet. High-intensity work (VO2max, 30/30s) would push best efforts into the front group.
📊
The Real Enemy
Absolute power, not profile. The data shows manageable fatigue. The consistency is the foundation. The gap to the front isn't about endurance or the wrong segment type — it's about the power number itself. That's the most direct lever.