Rider Type · Data-Derived
Sprinter
High-end power on flat or rolling terrain. Speed over gradient.
Over 16 rides and 167 segment results in 2025, Larry Li averaged in the top 30% of the field, with a +1 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 16 rides and 167 segment results in 2025, Larry Li averaged in the top 30% of the field, with a +1 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 31% avg →
Late (S07+): top 30% avg ·
Swing: +1 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=61 · 423W avg)
Top 29%
0.4–0.8km (n=62 · 348W avg)
Top 31%
>0.8km (n=44 · 307W avg)
Top 31%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=27 · 389W avg)
Top 23%
6–10% mod (n=73 · 351W avg)
Top 31%
10–13% steep (n=54 · 372W avg)
Top 32%
>13% wall (n=12 · 361W avg)
Top 35%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=43)
Top 33%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=46)
Top 31%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/52 | fulll Whitham Avenue | 0.43 km | 5.4% |
| 6/69 | Stonebrook to Prospect | 0.47 km | 5.5% |
| 5/54 | Dirk's super short hill sprint | 0.18 km | 5.2% |
| 5/52 | Comer (Egan Official) Bridge to Stop Sign | 0.69 km | 9.5% |
| 7/70 | Foothill Lane (no sign on Elena) | 0.31 km | 8.7% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49/81 | Palmer Climb | 0.26 km | 14.8% |
| 38/64 | Rainbow's End - Where's the pot of gold? | 0.53 km | 9.1% |
| 48/82 | Mora: Trail of Tribulation | 0.69 km | 10.4% |
| 38/68 | Vista Verde (Egan Official) Ramona to Old Spanish | 0.41 km | 13.5% |
| 45/82 | Golden Oak - Sausal to top | 1.02 km | 6.6% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
High-end speed on flat and rolling terrain. Short explosive efforts when the gradient stays low — that's the ceiling. Top 31% when fresh on opening segments. Fast-twitch recruitment is the edge — don't grind it away with long endurance blocks.
🎯
Development Area
Sustained climbing — the 9-point gap between flat (top 23%) and steep (top 32%) performance is the main story. Threshold climbing work (sweet-spot on 6–10% gradients) would open up more of the Egan route catalog. Target rides with longer sustained pitches to build climbing-specific endurance.
📊
The Real Enemy
Gradient. Once the road tips up beyond 8%, the advantage erodes fast. Watts short vs long: 423W → 307W shows the pattern. Egan routes are climb-heavy, so working on climbing-specific power is the highest-leverage investment.