Rider Type · Data-Derived
Diesel / Rouleur
Consistent across the ride. Aerobic engine that keeps firing late in the day.
Over 10 rides and 69 segment results in 2025, Matthew ! averaged in the top 10% of the field, with a +4 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 10 rides and 69 segment results in 2025, Matthew ! averaged in the top 10% of the field, with a +4 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 14% avg →
Late (S07+): top 9% avg ·
Swing: +4 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=41)
Top 12%
0.4–0.8km (n=17)
Top 7%
>0.8km (n=11)
Top 8%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=15)
Top 11%
6–10% mod (n=29)
Top 10%
10–13% steep (n=19)
Top 10%
>13% wall (n=5)
Top 12%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=22)
Top 12%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=9)
Top 7%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/109 | Taaffe from Dezahara (Egan Official) | 0.43 km | 8.9% |
| 4/86 | Stonebrook from Priscilla | 0.42 km | 8.0% |
| 4/81 | La Barranca Rd | 0.22 km | 7.7% |
| 4/79 | Miranda Hill | 0.7 km | 3.8% |
| 4/70 | Wayside (Egan Official) | 1.56 km | 9.4% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/63 | Aric Lane | 0.23 km | 3.8% |
| 20/74 | De Bell (Egan official) | 0.31 km | 7.9% |
| 15/67 | Lundy Grind | 0.13 km | 8.0% |
| 15/68 | Deerfield Drive up | 0.24 km | 9.1% |
| 14/67 | Quail Beotch | 0.24 km | 10.6% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Exceptional repeatability — the engine keeps firing deep into the ride. Late-ride performance (top 9%) is actually stronger to the opening. Thrives on rides with high segment counts where rivals are already fading. The aerobic base is the asset — protect it.
🎯
Development Area
Peak power and short-burst acceleration. The punch/threshold gap (top 12% vs top 7%) shows where the ceiling is on explosive efforts. Sprint intervals and over-under VO2max work would add a new gear without eroding the aerobic base. The diesel engine is built — adding a turbo is the next step.
📊
The Real Enemy
Absolute peak power output, not endurance. The engine runs clean all day but the rev ceiling is the constraint. The rival who fades less than everyone else still loses to a rider who never needed to fade.