Rider Type · Data-Derived
Puncheur
Explosive on short steep efforts, strongest when fresh. Power drops with fatigue.
Over 10 rides and 95 segment results in 2025, Michael Rea averaged in the top 39% of the field, with a −5 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 10 rides and 95 segment results in 2025, Michael Rea averaged in the top 39% of the field, with a −5 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 36% avg →
Late (S07+): top 41% avg ·
Swing: −5 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=39 · 476W avg)
Top 37%
0.4–0.8km (n=32 · 376W avg)
Top 40%
>0.8km (n=24 · 337W avg)
Top 40%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=14 · 436W avg)
Top 42%
6–10% mod (n=38 · 369W avg)
Top 42%
10–13% steep (n=37 · 463W avg)
Top 33%
>13% wall (n=6 · 420W avg)
Top 46%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=27)
Top 36%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=25)
Top 39%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/67 | Quail Beotch | 0.24 km | 10.6% |
| 7/46 | Matadero Creek Ln Climb from Bottom | 0.26 km | 10.3% |
| 12/71 | Last climb out of Rancho | 0.33 km | 3.7% |
| 11/62 | Up Escobar to Westridge | 0.96 km | 4.6% |
| 12/67 | H2N: Voss | 0.37 km | 11.0% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62/70 | Elena Rd to Natoma | 0.82 km | 6.7% |
| 44/54 | Dirk's super short hill sprint | 0.18 km | 5.2% |
| 52/69 | Deerfield Drive up | 0.24 km | 9.1% |
| 62/90 | Summerhill / Rockpoint | 0.36 km | 8.4% |
| 44/64 | Rainbow's End - Where's the pot of gold? | 0.53 km | 9.1% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Explosive anaerobic power on short steep climbs. Opening-segment aggression (top 36% on S1–S2). Wall-gradient efforts where torque beats sustained output. Don't over-train aerobic base at the expense of peak power — that edge is real.
🎯
Development Area
Aerobic threshold and repeatability — the gap between S1 (top 36%) and S7+ (top 41%) is 5 percentile points. Even closing that to 5 points would be transformative on long-format rides. Target: 2×20 threshold work and back-to-back climbing days to build the aerobic floor.
📊
The Real Enemy
Fatigue, not segment type. Power drops 29% from short to long segments (476W → 337W). The issue is power-at-fatigue (FTP relative to peak power) — on a fresh day the ceiling is genuinely high.