Rider Type · Data-Derived
Puncheur
Explosive on short steep efforts, strongest when fresh. Power drops with fatigue.
Over 24 rides and 176 segment results in 2025, Scott W averaged in the top 41% of the field, with a −14 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 24 rides and 176 segment results in 2025, Scott W averaged in the top 41% of the field, with a −14 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 33% avg →
Late (S07+): top 47% avg ·
Swing: −14 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=77 · 475W avg)
Top 38%
0.4–0.8km (n=58 · 405W avg)
Top 38%
>0.8km (n=41 · 316W avg)
Top 52%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=34 · 418W avg)
Top 34%
6–10% mod (n=77 · 427W avg)
Top 38%
10–13% steep (n=55 · 404W avg)
Top 47%
>13% wall (n=9 · 389W avg)
Top 53%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=50)
Top 44%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=38)
Top 53%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/69 | RSA bump | 0.3 km | 7.7% |
| 5/65 | Christophers Ln | 0.54 km | 4.6% |
| 5/61 | Quinnhill from Summerhill | 0.35 km | 7.5% |
| 4/47 | Matadero Creek Ln - off Pagemill Rd | 0.23 km | 12.3% |
| 5/56 | La Barranca Rd | 0.22 km | 7.7% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79/84 | Horseshoe Ct | 0.23 km | 15.1% |
| 75/85 | fulll Whitham Avenue | 0.43 km | 5.4% |
| 56/64 | Oxford Dr (West) | 0.12 km | 10.7% |
| 52/61 | Border Hill | 0.53 km | 8.3% |
| 74/87 | Camino Hermosa (Egan Official) to Magdalena | 0.62 km | 9.4% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Explosive anaerobic power on short steep climbs. Opening-segment aggression (top 33% on S1–S2). Wall-gradient efforts where torque beats sustained output. Don't over-train aerobic base at the expense of peak power — that edge is real.
🎯
Development Area
Aerobic threshold and repeatability — the gap between S1 (top 33%) and S7+ (top 47%) is 14 percentile points. Even closing that to 7 points would be transformative on long-format rides. Target: 2×20 threshold work and back-to-back climbing days to build the aerobic floor.
📊
The Real Enemy
Fatigue, not segment type. Power drops 33% from short to long segments (475W → 316W). The issue is power-at-fatigue (FTP relative to peak power) — on a fresh day the ceiling is genuinely high. One note: Ride 09 looks like a major outlier — averaging top 72% vs your season norm of top 41%. A single bad day (mechanical, illness, off route) is pulling down the headline numbers.