Rider Type · Data-Derived
Diesel / Rouleur
Consistent across the ride. Aerobic engine that keeps firing late in the day.
Over 21 rides and 199 segment results in 2026, Allen I averaged in the top 47% of the field, with a +23 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 21 rides and 199 segment results in 2026, Allen I averaged in the top 47% of the field, with a +23 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 62% avg →
Late (S07+): top 40% avg ·
Swing: +23 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=73 · 334W avg)
Top 51%
0.4–0.8km (n=78 · 295W avg)
Top 46%
>0.8km (n=48 · 262W avg)
Top 43%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=43 · 303W avg)
Top 46%
6–10% mod (n=81 · 290W avg)
Top 47%
10–13% steep (n=56 · 296W avg)
Top 50%
>13% wall (n=18 · 312W avg)
Top 43%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=52)
Top 52%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=46)
Top 41%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/54 | Matadero Creek Ln Climb from Bottom | 0.26 km | 10.3% |
| 6/71 | Quinnhill from Summerhill | 0.35 km | 7.5% |
| 6/59 | Highlands Circle (east) | 0.33 km | 10.6% |
| 8/69 | Stirrup/Saddle to Moon | 0.59 km | 8.2% |
| 10/74 | Dezahara Way | 0.48 km | 5.4% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57/57 | Liddicoat + Stanford | 0.4 km | 10.0% |
| 61/61 | Quinhill from University (Egan Official) | 0.31 km | 12.0% |
| 53/56 | St Francis Rd | 0.92 km | 3.7% |
| 58/62 | Border Hill | 0.53 km | 8.3% |
| 55/59 | Quinhill from University (Egan Official) | 0.31 km | 12.0% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Exceptional repeatability — the engine keeps firing deep into the ride. Late-ride performance (top 40%) is actually stronger to the opening. Thrives on rides with high segment counts where rivals are already fading. The aerobic base is the asset — protect it.
🎯
Development Area
Peak power and short-burst acceleration. The punch/threshold gap (top 52% vs top 41%) shows where the ceiling is on explosive efforts. Sprint intervals and over-under VO2max work would add a new gear without eroding the aerobic base. The diesel engine is built — adding a turbo is the next step.
📊
The Real Enemy
Absolute peak power output, not endurance. The engine runs clean all day but the rev ceiling is the constraint. Watts from early to late: 297W → 300W (1%) — barely any drop, which is the signature. The rival who fades less than everyone else still loses to a rider who never needed to fade.