Rider Type · Data-Derived
Pure Climber
Thrives on sustained gradient. The steeper and longer, the better.
Over 10 rides and 91 segment results in 2026, Patrick Burke averaged in the top 46% of the field, with a −5 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 10 rides and 91 segment results in 2026, Patrick Burke averaged in the top 46% of the field, with a −5 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 43% avg →
Late (S07+): top 49% avg ·
Swing: −5 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=28 · 517W avg)
Top 51%
0.4–0.8km (n=35 · 449W avg)
Top 46%
>0.8km (n=28 · 423W avg)
Top 43%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=19 · 472W avg)
Top 39%
6–10% mod (n=34 · 451W avg)
Top 45%
10–13% steep (n=29 · 472W avg)
Top 51%
>13% wall (n=9 · 423W avg)
Top 55%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=23)
Top 51%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=25)
Top 48%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/59 | Ravensbury | 0.94 km | 4.9% |
| 8/59 | Arboretum Drive | 0.55 km | 8.7% |
| 16/90 | Prospect hill repeat | 0.59 km | 5.8% |
| 12/59 | Highlands Circle (east) | 0.33 km | 10.6% |
| 11/54 | Matadero Creek Ln - off Pagemill Rd | 0.23 km | 12.3% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74/74 | Quinhill from University (Egan Official) | 0.31 km | 12.0% |
| 72/74 | Summerhill / Rockpoint | 0.36 km | 8.4% |
| 70/75 | Wildcrest to 2nd White Gate (Egan Official) | 0.37 km | 12.7% |
| 53/59 | Mora: Trail of Tribulation | 0.69 km | 10.4% |
| 53/59 | Bear Gulch to Gate | 0.34 km | 14.7% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Gradient is your friend — performance holds or improves on steeper pitches. Best on sustained steep climbs. The climbing economy (power-to-weight expression) is the weapon. Protect body weight and VO2max work.
🎯
Development Area
Flat and rolling segments are the weak spot — 0 percentile points behind best-gradient performance. Not about becoming a sprinter, but reducing the gap on terrain where others are pulling away. Cadence work, aero position, and short flat intervals would help neutralize the disadvantage.
📊
The Real Enemy
Flat terrain and short punchy efforts where raw speed matters more than W/kg. Watts on short efforts: 517W — the absolute number may be competitive, but the expression on non-climbing terrain is not translating. One note: Ride 06 looks like a major outlier — averaging top 78% vs your season norm of top 47%. A single bad day (mechanical, illness, off route) is pulling down the headline numbers.